This pharma giant just made a smart strategic acquisition.
There are plenty of reasons to buy a leading biopharma business like AbbVie(ABBV -0.99%), and investors just got at least a few more. Thanks to a large acquisition that came out of left field, it could now become a prominent psychiatric-drug company.
Though the area isn't traditionally in AbbVie's wheelhouse, there's reason to believe that its latest bet will turn out well for investors. Here's why.
This new segment could be incredibly valuable
On May 13, AbbVie signed a deal with the biotech Gilgamesh Pharmaceuticals to collaborate on the of novel therapies for psychiatry. Those novel therapies, inspired by some of the supposedly therapeutic effects of certain psychedelic drugs, are intended to promote neuroplasticity.
If you're not familiar with the term, neuroplasticity is the property of neurons (brain cells) that enables them to shore up or scale down their connections to other neurons. A lack of neuroplasticity is implicated in many different mental health issues, as well as in some of the cognitive effects of aging. Psychedelic drugs are known to temporarily but dramatically increase neuroplasticity, which is a big part of why they're being investigated by companies like Compass Pathways to use in treating mental illnesses, in combination with psychological support administered at the same time.
But Gilgamesh's candidates are intended to create the same neuroplasticity-enhancing effects as psychedelics, without also causing hallucinations or other psychedelic sensory phenomena. Furthermore, they're designed to have features like a rapid onset and a relatively brief therapeutic period, both of which the current set of investigational psychedelic medicines lack. So Gilgamesh's products may be more effective or less expensive to administer than psychedelic therapies produced by competitors, because they probably won't require as much monitoring by therapeutic staff.
Per the terms of the collaboration agreement, Gilgamesh will get $65 million in cash up front, and it could receive almost $2 billion in royalties, milestones, and other fees. The biotech currently has two programs in phase 2 clinical trials, with one targeted at depression and bipolar-associated depression, and the other targeted at depression and anxiety.
While AbbVie currently has a neuroscience division, its pipeline is nearly bare of psychiatric medicines. In the first quarter, sales of its neuroscience drugs only brought in about $1.9 billion in revenue out of $12.3 billion in total. Adding a few next-gen programs to the pipeline gives the company a pathway to capturing a larger share of the psychiatry market, especially for massive segments like depression where many patients cannot find a solution that works for them. According to Fortune Business Insights, the market for antidepressants will grow to reach $18.2 billion by 2027.
Overall, the partnership is bullish for AbbVie stock. AbbVie won't be on the hook for the entire amount of the deal unless Gilgamesh's programs advance through clinical trials and get approved for sale by regulators. In other words, if it manages to shell out all the money it agreed to, you can count on the business reaping far larger gains from sales and earnings.
In that light, each dollar spent is another reason to think about buying the stock.
Keep your expectations grounded in reality
The drug development process takes a long time, and the risk of failure along the way is high. That's especially true in a challenging niche like psychiatry, in which patients often need to combine multiple medicines to reduce their symptoms to a tolerable level. It's also true when attempting to develop novel therapies in general, as less is known about their performance characteristics and impacts on patients.
All of this is to say that AbbVie may not be competing in the market for antidepressants anytime soon. It's also definitely too soon to include it in a basket of psychedelic stocks.
Still, with such a lucrative segment clearly of interest to management, the collaboration with Gilgamesh won't be AbbVie's last attempt to enter the space. Nor does the deal diminish the appeal of an investment based only on the many in-demand drugs AbbVie makes, not to mention the myriad of clinical-stage programs in its massive development pipeline.
Alex Carchidi has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Compass Pathways Plc. The Motley Fool recommends AbbVie. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
This pharma giant just made a smart strategic acquisition. There are plenty of reasons to buy a leading biopharma business like AbbVie
AbbVie
AbbVie Inc. is an American pharmaceutical company headquartered in North Chicago, Illinois. It is ranked sixth on the list of largest biomedical companies by revenue. In 2023, the company's seat in Forbes Global 2000 was 74.
(ABBV -1.09%), and investors just got at least a few more. Thanks to a large acquisition that came out of left field, it could now become a prominent psychiatric-drug company.
AbbVie has one of the most popular cancer drugs in its portfolio, Imbruvica. Its newest immunology drugs Skyrizi (risankizumab) and Rinvoq (upadacitinib) position it well for long-term growth. ABBV boasts a Value Style Score of B and VGM Score of B, and holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) rating.
According to the latest long-term forecast, AbbVie price will hit $200 by the middle of 2025 and then $250 by the middle of 2027. AbbVie will rise to $300 within the year of 2028, $350 in 2030, $400 in 2032 and $450 in 2035.
The highest analyst price target is $200.00 ,the lowest forecast is $172.00. The average price target represents 19.60% Increase from the current price of $155.34. AbbVie's analyst rating consensus is a Strong Buy.
We are making significant advancements with a robust pipeline of potential new medicines as we look to find the treatments of tomorrow. We are driven by our compassion for people, commitment to innovation and inclusion, service to the community and uncompromising integrity.
Largest shareholders include Vanguard Group Inc, BlackRock Inc., State Street Corp, VTSMX - Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund Investor Shares, Jpmorgan Chase & Co, Capital International Investors, VFINX - Vanguard 500 Index Fund Investor Shares, Geode Capital Management, Llc, Morgan Stanley, and Capital Research ...
AbbVie is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 23.3% and 5.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 22.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 249.1% in 3 years.
Income investors must be conscious of the fact that high-yielding stocks tend to struggle during periods of rising interest rates. With that in mind, ABBV is a compelling investment opportunity. Not only is it a strong dividend play, but the stock currently sits at a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold).
(NYSE: ABBV) today declared a quarterly cash dividend of $1.55 per share. The cash dividend is payable May 15, 2024, to stockholders of record at the close of business on April 15, 2024. Since the company's inception in 2013, AbbVie has increased its dividend by more than 285 percent.
With the forecast success of both Skyrizi and Rinvoq, AbbVie is predicted to recover from the 2023 drop in sales. By 2030, the company is forecast to generate total revenue of $75.4 billion, a 39% increase from 2023.
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AbbVie Inc's robust immunology and oncology portfolio drives its competitive edge. Patent expirations and biosimilar competition present significant challenges. Continued investment in R&D and strategic acquisitions bolster innovation and market presence.
Health care is a defensive sector, which means that it generally provides consistent returns and stable earnings that are uncorrelated with the overall stock market or economy. As such, health care tends to outperform when the general market is weak or the economy is slowing.
Is Procter & Gamble stock a Buy, Sell or Hold? Procter & Gamble stock has received a consensus rating of buy. The average rating score is Aa3 and is based on 62 buy ratings, 10 hold ratings, and 0 sell ratings.
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